Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.087022 3.257260 3.437512 3.643564 3.873834 4.124735 4.420849
2025-08-17 2.737855 2.958502 3.203114 3.497494 3.846502 4.252936 4.771289
2025-08-24 2.514906 2.766673 3.055785 3.418300 3.869869 4.427551 5.192762
2025-08-31 2.364091 2.639208 2.964535 3.387143 3.937416 4.655596 5.715918
2025-09-07 2.229363 2.517038 2.865074 3.330167 3.958397 4.818454 6.176546
2025-09-14 2.112358 2.406380 2.768668 3.264176 3.954527 4.939991 6.595810
2025-09-21 2.007864 2.303655 2.673505 3.189019 3.926035 5.016719 6.955296
2025-09-28 1.944110 2.247887 2.633900 3.183466 3.992756 5.242559 7.625126
2025-10-05 1.937954 2.264652 2.689138 3.311804 4.269003 5.846005 9.217357
2025-10-12 1.900279 2.237261 2.682094 3.348928 4.407568 6.242570 10.570032
2025-10-19 1.862839 2.207735 2.669498 3.375506 4.530488 6.633645 12.133802
2025-10-26 1.837397 2.192680 2.675481 3.429421 4.704164 7.160337 14.477927
2025-11-02 1.776033 2.129787 2.615610 3.385895 4.720296 7.405258 16.336981
2025-11-09 1.698946 2.042599 2.517202 3.275869 4.607653 7.353149 17.113116
2025-11-16 1.641077 1.980066 2.451890 3.214785 4.579368 7.493359 18.980337
2025-11-23 1.597943 1.936380 2.411931 3.191764 4.619866 7.811872 22.408805
2025-11-30 1.551132 1.885615 2.358901 3.143183 4.605183 7.991339 25.625814
2025-12-07 1.505050 1.834195 2.302525 3.085135 4.565240 8.096620 28.840474
2025-12-14 1.459562 1.782115 2.242986 3.018044 4.500147 8.119260 31.692617
2025-12-21 1.432521 1.755548 2.220898 3.013375 4.562674 8.530984 41.598266
2025-12-28 1.435966 1.772929 2.266530 3.129250 4.897155 9.942811 111.826499
2026-01-04 1.419912 1.761063 2.265931 3.162748 5.056945 10.883141 750.607411
2026-01-11 1.402608 1.746639 2.260458 3.186693 5.198797 11.862142 NaN